Thursday, October 22, 2009

NFL PICKS - Week 7

Week 6 NFL Results: 6-8
NFL Results Season to Date: 50-53

Week 6 College Football Results: 4-1
College Football Results Season to Date: 23-12

Week 6 This Is Why Results: 3-3
This is Why Results Season to Date: 16-9

Week 7 NFL Picks (winners in parentheses):

At Houston -3 San Francisco (San Francisco)
San Diego -4.5 At Kansas City (San Diego)
Indianapolis -13 At St. Louis (Indianapolis)
New England -15 neutral site Tampa Bay (New England)
At Pittsburgh -3.5 Minnesota (Minnesota)
Green Bay -7 At Cleveland (Green Bay)
At Carolina -7 Buffalo (Carolina)
New York Jets -5.5 At Oakland (New York Jets)
At Cincinnati -1 Chicago (Chicago)
At Dallas -3.5 Atlanta (Atlanta)
New Orleans -6.5 At Miami (New Orleans)
At New York Giants -7 Arizona (NYG)

Monday Night Football

Philadelphia -7 At Washington (Philadelphia)

College Picks

Penn St. -4.5 At Michigan (Michigan)
Florida -23 At Mississippi St. (Florida)
Boise St. -25 At Hawaii (Boise St.)
At Michigan St. even Iowa (Michigan St.)

This is Why

Here are the pro and college lines that I would put money on, and why. I was struggling to find any college lines that jumped out at me this week, so I'm going to focus on the pro games:

New England -15 over Tampa Bay - New England's offense is starting to click after last week's blow out win over Tennessee. Tampa Bay's defense is struggling, and Bill Belichick is not afraid to run up the score.

Green Bay -7 over CLEVELAND - Green Bay is still struggling to protect Aaron Rogers, but Cleveland's pass rush doesn't install fear in much anyone. This should allow Green Bay to run a "max protect" scheme in order to hold the sacks to a minimum (under five). Furthermore, Cleveland has had 12 players out of practice this week due to a flu outbreak, and their status for Sunday's game is still unknown.

Indianaplis -13 over St. Louis - Peyton Manning is finding his rythym of 3 seasons ago with six straight 300 yard games to start the season. This another example of an elite team playing a bottom dweller where Las Vegas simply cannot set the line high enough. Indianapolis' defense has been performing well even without Bob Sanders, who should return from injury this week and give the Colts an extra boost.

Atlanta +3.5 over Dallas - Dallas is simply not a very good team. While the Falcons are on the road this week, they are a good team. The key to this match up is whether Tony Romo and the Dallas receivers can exploit a banged up Atlanta secondary, who lost Brian Williams to injury last week. I still like Atlanta taking any amount of points in this game, especially given Tony Romo's inconsistencies this season.

1 comment:

  1. In reviewing my picks, my breakdown for Green Bay vs. Cleveland was dead on. In fact, I woke up on Sunday morning to Mike Ditka on ESPN Sunday NFL Countdown pretty much giving the exact same analysis regarding Green Bay going "max protect" and Cleveland's problems with the flu. I guess great minds think alike, that is unless it comes to trading your entire draft away for Ricky Williams. On the other hand, I completely misread the Atlanta vs. Dallas game. Tony Romo lit up the Atlanta secondary with new found favorite target Miles Austin. Oh well, you win some and you lose some.