Monday, November 16, 2009

NFL PICKS - Week 10

Week 9 NFL Results: 4-8
NFL Results Season to Date: 65-76-1

Week 9 College Football Results: 1-4
College Football Results Season to Date: 27-22

Week 9 This Is Why Results: 1-3
This is Why Results Season to Date: 21-17

Week 10 NFL Picks (winners in parentheses):

At San Francisco -3 Chicago (Chicago)
At New York Jets -7 Jacksonville (Jacksonville)
At Pittsburgh -7 At Cincinnati (Cincinnati)
At Tennessee -6.5 Buffalo (Tennessee)
At Minnesota -16.5 Detroit (Minnesota)
New Orleans -13.5 At St. Louis (New Orleans)
Atlanta -2 At Carolina (Atlanta)
At Miami -10 Tampa Bay (Tampa Bay)
At Oakland -2 Kansas City (Kansas City)
At Arizona -8 Seattle (Arizona)
At San Diego -1 Philadelphia (Philly)
Dallas -2.5 At Green Bay (Green Bay)
At Indianapolis -2.5 New England (Indy)

Monday Night Football

Baltimore -10.5 At Cleveland (Baltimore)

College Picks

At Wisconsin -8.5 Michigan (Wisconsin)
Western Michigan -12 At Eastern Michigan (Western Michigan)
At Ole Miss -4.5 Tennessee (Ole Miss)
Florida -15.5 At South Carolina (Florida)
Alabama -12 At Mississippi State (Alabama)

This is Why

Here are the pro and college lines that I would put money on, and why:

MINNESOTA -16.5 over Detroit - Brett Favre vs. Detroit's secondary, or Adrian Peterson against Detroit's run defense. Factor in Minnesota being able to shut down Detroit's running game and Detroit has little chance of staying close in this game.

New Orleans -13.5 over ST. LOUIS - Possibly the best team in the league, against one of the worst. Even at home St. Louis shouldn't be able to put enough points on the board to hang with Drew Brees and New Orlean's offense.

Cincinnati + 7 over PITTSBURGH - The Bengals have quietly become one of the better teams in the league. Their surprisingly good offensive line should allow Cedric Benson and company an chance to keep this game close in a defensive game.

Baltimore -10.5 over CLEVELAND - Whether it's Brady Quinn or Derrick Anderson behind center for the Browns, I don't like their chances against Baltimore's defense. Cleveland simply has no weapons on the offensive side of the ball, and Baltimore's offense has shown the ability to put points on the board for the first time in years.


  1. Alright, now that I've done my home work and revised my opinion on certain teams, it looks like I'm back on track. Specifically, Tennessee has gone from "must pick against" to "don't pick against" until further notice status. Tampa is not nearly as bad as you might think with Josh Freeman now in control of the offense. The New Orleans offense has slowed of late, causing them to struggle to cover larger point spreads. The New York Giants and Atlanta have struggled to win games that they have been favored in of late, and Dallas has been a bit of a pleasant surprise aside from their hicup in Green Bay last weeks. I'm going to remember these trends if Vegas doesn't start changing their betting lines on the aforementioned teams.

    As for the early games this week, I'm going with Central Michigan -16.5 at Ball State, and Carolina -3 vs. Miami. I'll post the rest of my picks by Saturday morning.

  2. For the Friday night game, I'm taking Boise State -21.5 at Utah State.