Thursday, December 9, 2010

NFL PICKS - Week 14

Week 13 NFL Results: 12-2-1
NFL Results Season to Date: 100-75-13

Week 13 College Football Results: 4-0-1
College Football Results Season to Date: 32-30-2

Week 13 Mark My Words Results: 2-2
Mark My Words Results Season to Date: 27-30-3

Week 14 NFL Picks (winners in parentheses):

Indianapolis -3.5 At Tennessee (Indianapolis)

At Jacksonville -4 Oakland (Oakland)
At Pittsburgh -8.5 Cincinnati (Pittsburgh)
New England -3 At Chicago (New England)
At Buffalo -1 Cleveland (Cleveland)
Minnesota -2 New York Giants (New York Giants)
Green Bay -7 At Detroit (Green Bay)
Atlanta -7.5 At Carolina (Atlanta)
Tampa Bay -2 At Washington (Tampa Bay)
At New Orleans -9.5 St. Louis (St. Louis)
At San Francisco -5 Seattle (Seattle)
At New York Jets -5 Miami (New York Jets)
Denver -5.5 At Arizona (Denver)
At San Diego -9.5 Kansas City (San Diego)
Philadelphia -3.5 At Dallas (Dallas)

Baltimore -3 At Houston (Baltimore)

Mark My Words - Here are the pro and college lines that I would put money on, and why:

PITTSBURGH -8.5 over CINCINNATI - While I hate to give up this many points in a rivalry game, Cincinnati's defense is a mess and now they must travel to Pittsburgh and face the Steelers defense.
Atlanta -7.5 over CAROLINA - Carolina has shown some spark of late with a revived running attack thanks to the emergence of Mike Goodson and the return of Jonathan Stewart, but their passing game has no life whatsoever. Atlanta should be able to control the ball with their running game or pass the ball to big play target Roddy White when needed.

Green Bay -7 over DETROIT - Not only is Detroit down to third string quarterback Drew Stanton, but their secondary took a hit when starting cornerback Alphonso Smith was placed on IR this week. Aaron Rodgers has to be salivating at the prospect of going against 3 corners who will see significant playing time that weren't even on an NFL roster to start the season. Look for Green Bay to spread the field and take advantage of some substantial mismatches.

New York Giants +2 over MINNESOTA - I like this line with Tarvaris Jackson starting at quarterback for Minnesota. I like it even more if Brett Favre is healthy enough to get the nod.

Kansas City -9.5 over SAN DIEGO - Neither of these teams have me sold in a very weak AFC West, but I like Kansas City with 7 points in the pocket given their solid running game and emerging passing attack featuring Dwayne Bowe. This line has gone up to 9.5 points on the news that Bodie Croyle will start in place of Matt Cassel, but I still think that Kansas City will be able to slow this game down and cover the spread.

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